We look at a lot of scenarios for what might happen in the future — cool technological developments, major advances in science, new evolutionary developments for humans and for other species on this planet — but are there any future developments that we can say with any certainty will happen?
Hosts Stephen Gordon and Phil Bowermaster introduce the Inevitability Scale, a tool for gauging whether a specific future outcome is inevitable. We will take a look at how some future events stack up when measured for inevitability:
- The Next Presidential Election
- The End of the World
- The First Manned Flight to Mars
- The Emergence of Greater-than-Human Artificial Intelligence
What can we say for sure that we know is going to happen?